Estimate worst fit - flock sizes

Created by: Lars Dalby

Imported comments:

By Lars Dalby on 2017-12-13T07:42:31.320Z

added ~3117937 and removed ~3117938 labels

By Lars Dalby on 2017-12-08T13:38:10.874Z

A run with the old defaults:

GOOSE_FOLLOWINGLIKELYHOOD_BN (int) = 9000
GOOSE_FOLLOWINGLIKELYHOOD_BN_NB (int) = 9900
GOOSE_FOLLOWINGLIKELYHOOD_PF (int) = 9000
GOOSE_FOLLOWINGLIKELYHOOD_PF_NB (int) = 9900
GOOSE_FOLLOWINGLIKELYHOOD_GL (int) = 3500
GOOSE_FOLLOWINGLIKELYHOOD_GL_NB (int) = 9300

gives this:

   Season  species       fit   fit_type
    <int>    <chr>     <dbl>      <chr>
 1      1 Barnacle 0.1726085 flock_size
 2      2 Barnacle 0.1516609 flock_size
 3      3 Barnacle 0.1431907 flock_size
 4      4 Barnacle 0.1652991 flock_size
 5      5 Barnacle 0.1368142 flock_size
 6      1 Pinkfoot 0.4255148 flock_size
 7      2 Pinkfoot 0.4175884 flock_size
 8      3 Pinkfoot 0.4406504 flock_size
 9      4 Pinkfoot 0.4327948 flock_size
10      5 Pinkfoot 0.4225687 flock_size

By Lars Dalby on 2017-12-08T13:15:31.028Z

A run with Following likelihood 0 for all gives this:

   Season  species       fit   fit_type
    <int>    <chr>     <dbl>      <chr>
 1      1 Barnacle 0.4862136 flock_size
 2      2 Barnacle 0.4964205 flock_size
 3      3 Barnacle 0.4939177 flock_size
 4      4 Barnacle 0.4940024 flock_size
 5      5 Barnacle 0.4860502 flock_size
 6      1 Pinkfoot 0.7274263 flock_size
 7      2 Pinkfoot 0.7319798 flock_size
 8      3 Pinkfoot 0.7310172 flock_size
 9      4 Pinkfoot 0.7259927 flock_size
10      5 Pinkfoot 0.7280755 flock_size

By Lars Dalby on 2017-12-08T12:23:35.630Z

added ~3117938 and removed ~3117937 labels

By Lars Dalby on 2017-12-08T08:54:01.225Z

added ~3117937 and removed ~3117938 labels

By Lars Dalby on 2017-12-06T09:12:57.607Z

added ~3117938 and removed ~3117937 labels

By Lars Dalby on 2017-12-06T09:11:32.156Z

added ~3117941 label

By Lars Dalby on 2017-12-06T09:11:27.528Z

assigned to @LDalby